Some Say Rumors of Javas Demise Have Been Exaggerated

By Darryl K. Taft  |  Posted 2012-02-13 Print this article Print


Like the mainframe, Java isn€™t going anywhere. It is the No. 1 language for enterprise development. IT organizations ask for it for major enterprise projects. There are more Java jobs around than any other. There continues to be a huge demand for Java developers, and as such there is a large base of Java developers and new folks who are learning the language. It€™s a stable language that enables developers to create well-structured code that is easily maintained.

There also is a host of good tools for Java. Java has a huge ecosystem and so many of the surrounding projects and products that support mobile platforms and big-time enterprise computing are Java-based: Android, Hadoop, Jenkins, Cassandra and HBase, to name a few.

Also, Java€™s position in January 1996 was No. 5 on the TIOBE Index of the most popular programming languages in use by developers. In January 2006, it was No. 1 and has hovered around the top ever since. The most recent TIOBE Index shows Java at No. 1, but was flat for growth.

At 17 years old, Java is certainly mature and beginning to show signs of age in that its architecture, along with the JVM, can be restrictive for some new programming paradigms. Oracle and the Java Community Process (JCP) try to address these issues with updates and changes to the Java language and platform. So despite losing a bit of its luster, the Java standard remains strong.

For instance, at the Free and Open Source Software Developers€™ European Meeting (FOSDEM) in February 2011, Stephen O€™Grady, an analyst and co-founder at RedMonk, said, €œJava is no longer as popular; what Java is, is the most popular.€ O€™Grady€™s FOSDEM 2011 slides can be found here.

However, in a post from November 2010, Mike Gualtieri, then a Forrester analyst, called Java a dead end. The post, entitled €œJava Is A Dead-End For Enterprise App Development,€ reads:

€œJava is not going away for business applications, just as COBOL is not going away. Java is still a great choice for app dev teams that have developed the architecture and expertise to develop and maintain business applications. It is also an excellent choice (along with C#) for software vendors to develop tools, utilities and platforms such as business process management (BPM), complex event processing (CEP), infrastructure as a service (IaaS), and elastic caching platforms (ECP). Software such as operating systems, databases, and console games are still mostly developed in C++.€

Gualtieri, who is now a vice president of marketing at Progress Software, also said in that 2010 post:

Java development is too complex for business application development. Enterprise application development teams should plan their escape from Java because:

  • Business requirements have changed. The pace of change has increased.
  • Development authoring is limited to programming languages. Even though the Java platform supports additional programming languages such as Groovy and JRuby, the underlying platform limits innovation to the traditional services provided by Java. You can invent as many new programming languages as you want, but they must all be implementable in the underlying platform.
  • Java bungled the presentation layer. Swing is a nightmare, and JavaFX is a failure. JSF was designed for pre-Ajax user interfaces even though some implementations such as ICEfaces incorporate Ajax. There is a steady stream of new UI approaches reflecting Java's lack of leadership in the presentation layer.
  • Java frameworks prove complexity. Hibernate, Spring, Struts and other frameworks reveal Java€™s deficiencies rather than its strengths. A future platform shouldn't need a cacophony of frameworks just to do the basics.
  • Java is based on C++. Is this really the best way to develop enterprise business applications?
  • Java€™s new boss is the same as the old boss. Oracle€™s reign is unlikely to transform Java. Oracle€™s recent Java announcements were a disappointment. They are focused on more features, more performance and more partnerships with other vendors. So far, it appears that Oracle is continuing with Sun€™s same failed Java policies.
  • Java has never been the only game in town. C# is not the alternative. It is little more than Java Microsoft style. But, there are new developer tools such as Microsoft Lightswitch and WaveMaker, and traditional but updated 4GL tools such as Compuware Uniface and Progress OpenEdge. And don€™t forget about business rules platforms, BPM and event processing platforms that enable faster change offers by enterprise software vendors such as IBM, Progress, TIBCO and Software AG.
Yet, Gualtieri noted that, €œClear standard alternatives to Java and C# for custom-developed applications do not exist.€ And he exhorted app dev teams to create a three-year application development strategy and road map to include architecture, process, talent, tools and technology. The road map should clearly look at language and framework options.

Later, in January 2011, Gualtieri€™s Forrester colleague John Rymer did a post on the future of Java, where he quite correctly said:

Fewer young developers will learn Java first. One of Java's greatest strengths has been the number of young developers who learn it as a first language. As Java becomes less and less of a client-side language, we expect to see educational institutions switch to other languages for primary education, ones with stronger client-side representation such as JavaScript and HTML 5. Over time, developers will begin to view Java as a server-side language for enterprises€”like COBOL.

Meanwhile, a RedMonk ranking of programming languages from last week shows Java as the top programming language according to their methods of calculating. In a Feb. 8 post, RedMonk€™s O€™Grady said:

As recently as a year ago, Java was widely regarded as a language with a limited future. Between the increased competition from dynamic languages and JVM-based Java alternatives, while the JVM had a clearly projectable future, even conservative, enterprise buyer oriented analysts€”the constituency most predisposed to defend Java€”were writing its obituary. As we argued at FOSDEM last February, however, these conclusions were premature according to our data. One year in, and the data continues to validate that assertion.

Apart from being the second-highest growth language on GitHub next to CoffeeScript, Java€”already the language with the second-most associated tags on Stack Overflow€”outpaced the median tag volume growth rate of 23 percent. This growth is supported elsewhere; on LinkedIn, the Java user group grew members faster than every other tracked programming language excepting C# and Java. This chart, for example, depicts the percentage of LinkedIn user group growth for Java- and JVM-based alternatives since November of 2011.

Still, there are obviously times when a development team needs to introduce a new language into their environment. Jay Fields, a software developer at DRW Trading, offers advice. Fields said introducing a new language is likely a multi-year affair for any moderately sized organization. He said he had to take on several roles and to become an expert and other things to alleviate his teammates€™ concerns.

Said Fields:

€œI eased my teammates€™ adoption fears by making the following commitments.

  • If you want to work on the code I'll work with you (if you want me to work with you).
  • If you don't want to work on the code I'll fix anything that's broken.
  • If the initial pain of working with a new language becomes unbearable to you, I'll rewrite everything in Java on my own time.€

Darryl K. Taft covers the development tools and developer-related issues beat from his office in Baltimore. He has more than 10 years of experience in the business and is always looking for the next scoop. Taft is a member of the Association for Computing Machinery (ACM) and was named 'one of the most active middleware reporters in the world' by The Middleware Co. He also has his own card in the 'Who's Who in Enterprise Java' deck.

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