Jim Rapoza

 
 
By eWEEK Labs  |  Posted 2002-11-18 Email Print this article Print
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Jim-RapozaJIM RAPOZA

The effect of Web services will be felt most deeply in large enterprise applications.

If Web services is one of the biggest technology stories of this year, it will only be bigger next year.

The effect of Web services will be felt most deeply in large enterprise applications, from portals to content management to CRM to business-to-business to knowledge management. During the last year, most of these product categories have moved aggressively to incorporate Web services, both in integrating them and in providing capabilities as Web services.

This trend will also result in increasing integration among these product areas and in outright acquisitions, as companies strive to offer full Web services platforms. This was recently seen in the acquisition of major portal player Epicentric Inc. by content management leader Vignette Corp.

This will continue next year, with some of these products essentially becoming specialized Web service management platforms. This will occur even though major divisions in vendor factions will continue to slow the adoption of important Web services standards, especially in the areas of security and unique ID management.

As for the browser wars, the introduction of the outstanding Mozilla browser will not signal a major sea change. Microsofts Internet Explorer will continue to be dominant, although many site developers will begin to code more to standards than to what works only on IE.

However, Mozilla will have a major effect as a platform for application development. The fact that the completely open Mozilla runs identically on all platforms will make it an increasingly popular choice for cross-platform application development.

As for security, look for more proactive security tools that make attacks less likely to occur, rather than simply responding to attacks that have already happened.

I also expect several major worms and cracker attacks to occur. These will be followed by increased security awareness, which will wane as company executives decide to cut back on security funding. Overworked administrators will fail to patch known problems, and new worms and attacks that leverage these problems will strike.

In other words, the same thing that happens every year will happen again next year.



 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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