Whos Switching Now
?"> Of course, the "macro halo" then leads PC users to wonder whether the Mac is a viable alternative to the Windows platform. This encompasses the Mac platform as a hardware technology and a software market; or in other words, users need to be confident that theres a value in the hardware and OS package, and that theres application software to get the work done, respectively. In the past, before the change to Intel processors, there was a technical hurdle with the Mac for Windows customers. The PowerPC platform didnt run Windows programs easily and quickly. And its performance and technology couldnt be compared easily with the PC. Now it can."Theres this funny connection with Windows and Intel. When the Mac was running on some oddball hardware, specifically the PowerPC, it wasnt in [Windows users] minds as a credible platform. All of a sudden, when the Mac is running the same [processor] as everyone else, its more of a viable deployment target," Siegel said. (Side note: Readers on the Mac should check out the latest version of Bare Bones Yojimbo, the companys excellent organizational tool that can hold all the various scraps of text, passwords, bookmarks, images and even entire Web pages that we collect and usually lose track of. Its very easy and effortless. I use it all the time. Now at Version 1.4, it costs $39.) Now, as Ive said, given the length of time that the doom monkey was on Apples back, and the really short stretch that weve had since the rise of the iPod and the arrival of Intel machines, any growth in the Mac installed base must be evidence of a halo. From my own recent observations, this macro halo effect appears to be hitting across the board, including the top tier of customersthe very ones that common sense would tell us should be the most partisan of Windows supporters. Consider these few signs of the macro halo effect:
Who are the switchers really? They arent all college kids and consumers as many believe.
I talk to a number of potential switchers each week and find that many are very technical people who use Windows at the office. Some used a Mac long ago in ancient times but gave it up to work in a Windows-centric enterprise.
For example, one acquaintance pinged me the other day (and declined attribution). Hes a technical sales manager at an ERP (enterprise resource planning) company and spends his days working on a PC. He remembers owning a PowerBook 160 (purchased sometime in 1992 or early 1993). But he says hes sick of the PC. And yes, he knows all about Vista and its benefits.
He told me that he was sick of "device driver hell" and "thanks to Boot Camp, Parallels and VMware, I can still keep a copy of Windows for basic tasks that cannot be done via the Mac."
Now, those "basic tasks" include running his companys software.
What I hear is that this guy is more confident that the Mac platform can run his real "basic tasks" than Windows can. At the same time, he has confidence that a virtualized Windows environment will handle his necessary work needs when something else is called for. And if absolutely necessary, he can run Windows natively on the Mac Intel-based hardware.
Meanwhile, other market segments such as the Web 2.0 crowd appear to have no trouble choosing the Mac over the PC. When you see photos from conferences or from people hanging in the office, they appear to be using Macs. The Apple logo is plain for all to see, row after row of Macs. This acceptance cant be for the style of the Mac. After all, these people are savvy, technical users.
Discussions with business software vendors at the Macworld Expo in January also gave me the increasing scope of continued acceptance of the Mac.
Several vendors, including the San Francisco-based Mindjet, showed "mind mapping" software, or project visualization and brainstorming software. Mindjets MindManager now comes in a Mac OS X-native version.
Who uses this kind of software? Top-level executives, directors and project managers in the enterprise, thats who.
According to Brook Stein, senior product manager, some of the demand for Mac compatibility came from the need of executives to more easily pass files with ad agencies and other outside consultants that used Macs. The creative and design market has always been a Mac stronghold.
However, the demand also came from the increasing number of switchers on the client side. "The biggest market were seeing growth in are people who use Windows at work [because they have to], but who buy Macs for home," he said.
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Most content providers dont detail whos reading their product. Or more accurately, they dont provide figures of which platform is reading the content.
So, a chart near the top of the Feb. 16 posting at Dave Winers Scripting News blog caught my attention.
In the story, Winer told of how Michael Gartenberg, formerly consumer market research director at JupiterResearch, was now a Microsoft evangelist.
The chart breaks out the Scripting News readers by browser. Firefox is the largest (49.76 percent), and Internet Explorer is second (23.43 percent). However, Mac-only browsers Safari and Camino are next in line (21.31 and a guesstimate of 2 percent, respectively). And Id guess that some part of the Firefox figures are really Mac users as well.
Ignoring that inflation, almost a quarter of the readers are Mac users. Winer tells us who they are:
At the Macworld Expo, I talked with a longtime Mac vendor, Rich Siegel, CEO and president of Bedford, Mass.-based Bare Bones Software. He agreed about the change thats come because of the switch to Intel.
- "The people who read this site are all enthusiasts, thats virtually what defines this site. When I ask a question about technology here, no matter how obscure, we get to the answer in an instant, often with lots of interesting sidebars along the way. And were the people who Microsoft lost in the last few years."