Intel executives have been vocal in their belief that the PC market is healthy
despite analysts' gloomy forecasts for that sector, and that it was the chip maker’s PC
business that helped fuel record financial numbers in the third quarter.
Even with
rivals experiencing tough going, Intel in the third quarter saw revenues hit
$14.2 billion and net income of $3.5 billion, up 28 percent and 17 percent,
respectively, over the same period in 2010. Much of that came off strong
notebook PC sales, including sales in emerging markets, according to Intel
President and CEO Paul Otellini.
Consumer PC
sales in mature markets like the United States and Western Europe continued to
be sluggish, but were more than offset by strong corporate sales and business
in markets such as China, India, Turkey and Indonesia, Otellini said during a
conference call with analysts and journalists Oct. 18.
“The global PC
landscape is being reshaped,” he said, noting that China is now the world’s
largest consumer of PCs, while Brazil is No. 3.
Emerging
markets will continue to be an important segment for the company, which holds
about 81 percent of the global processor space. According to Intel’s numbers,
PC revenues grew 22 percent over the third quarter last year, and the business
could jump as much as 10 percent in the fourth quarter. Overall, Intel is
forecasting revenues for the fourth quarter to come in around $14.7 billion.
Intel’s
financial numbers—which constitute the sixth consecutive quarter of record
numbers—come at a time when Advanced Micro Devices, the world’s second-largest chip
maker, has been forced to cut its third-quarter forecast due to
problems in manufacturing partner Globalfoundries’ facility in Germany. AMD is
scheduled to announce its quarterly numbers Oct. 27.
At the same
time, executives with ARM Holdings, whose low-power
chips run in most tablet PCs and smartphones, are taking aim at the PC market,
and are developing chip designs to move up the ladder to compete more directly
with Intel in both PCs and low-end servers. ARM officials announced Oct. 18
that it and manufacturing partner Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. had
taped out the first 20-nanometer multicore Cortex-A15 chip.
Otellini and Intel
CFO Stacy Smith were asked several times by analysts about the challenge ARM
represents to Intel in the PC space. Both were confident that Intel was in a
better position than ARM, given the trends in the space, and they pointed to
Intel’s strength in chip design and in manufacturing. Otellini said that as
devices become smaller and the demand for lower power is coupled with the
demand for better performance, the need for better transistor technology
emerges. He noted Intel’s 3D Tri-Gate transistor technology, which promises
both better power numbers and performance. It will make its debut in Intel’s
upcoming “Ivy Bridge” chips, which will make their appearance in devices next
year.
“While there
is certainly some possibility of ARM’s incursion into PCs, I think it’s going
to be minimal,” Otellini said.
Smith said
Intel has a significant lead in innovation over its rivals.
“We’re solving
these problems of physics,” he said. “We’re two years ahead of everyone else.”
Intel also is
pushing its ultrabook concept as a way to both energize the PC market and
expand its reach into the booming mobile-device space, currently dominated by
ARM. First pitched at the Computex 2011 show in May, the concept calls for
ultra-thin-and-light notebooks that offer the benefits of traditional PCs with
the features of tablets, including long battery life and instant-on capabilities.
They also will include touch capabilities and constant Internet connections.
Acer and Asus
have begun selling the first of the ultrabooks based on Intel’s current 2nd
Generation Core Sandy Bridge chips; other OEMs are expected to follow soon. The
big year for ultrabooks will be 2012, when systems based on the Ivy Bridge
chips will appear, according to Intel officials. Consumers also will start
seeing prices on the devices fall, Otellini said. The current ultrabooks come
in at a low cost of $899, but he said he could see that dropping to $699 next
year.
However, while
Intel remained strong in the PC market, it still is trying to find a way into
the mobile space. Sales of the company’s Atom chips, which are leading the charge
into the tablet and smartphone markets, continued to struggle into the third
quarter, falling 32 percent over the same period last year.
Otellini said
smartphones powered by Intel’s “Medfield” Atom chips will start appearing in
the first half of 2012, and he said Intel also will be a player in the tablet
space. He also pointed to the expansion of Intel’s partnership with Google, which was announced
last month at the Intel Developer Forum. The partnership calls for Google to
optimize the Android mobile operating system for Atom. At the IDF show, the two
companies showed off a prototype Android smartphone powered by an Atom Medfield
chip.