SurePayroll's August Hiring Index shows cost-conscious businesses continue to add jobs, though the Pay Index found salaries continue to decline. Business optimism saw a large increase as business owners felt fears of health care costs dissipate.
The August report from online
payroll SurePayroll, which tracks small to medium-size businesses (SMBs), said that
while small businesses are continuing to add employees, albeit slowly, salaries
continue to drop-- year to date, the
average small business salary has fallen six percent. Year-to-date small
business hiring, as measured by changes in the average size of a U.S. small
business, is up 1.9 percent. The analysis is based on aggregated and anonymous
payroll data for tens of thousands of U.S. small businesses, coupled with
surveys of a smaller subset of those companies.
August also represented what
SurePayroll president Michael Alter called “a strong rebound” in business owner
optimism. After Scorecard optimism survey results in July, which found 56
percent of responding small business owners indicating they were optimistic
about the small business economy (a big drop in optimism from June 2009 when
the figure stood at 79 percent), August results show 71 percent of respondents
expressed owner optimism.
Alter said July pessimism was
powered largely by concerns about the costs of health care reform. Many of
those concerns seem to have dissipated, now that more facts are on the table
and many inaccurate beliefs regarding health care reform have been dispelled.
“In response to a survey we conducted at the end of July, only 56 percent of
responding small business owners indicated that they were optimistic about the
small business economy,” he said. “It also helps that the stock market posted
very healthy gains in August, and that a number of other economic indicators
suggest that the economy has turned the corner.”
The company’s SurePayroll
Hiring Index rose 21 points to 11,489 in August, up from 11,468 at the end of
July. (The Hiring Index tracks the total workforce for a small business,
including employees and contractors.) This represents a 0.2 percent
month-over-month increase in hiring. As of August, the Hiring
Index is up 1.9 percent for the year, or an annualized growth rate of 2.9
percent.
However, Alter said if you
are about to get a job at a small business, expect to make less than you would
have if you got the job months ago. The SurePayroll Pay Index now stands at
967, down nine points from the July reading of 976. That translates to a 0.9
percent month-over-month drop in average small business salaries. Year to date,
salaries have dropped six percent, equivalent to an annualized salary drop of
8.8 percent.
In addition to tracking hiring
and salary trends, SurePayroll tracks whether companies are becoming more
reliant on independent contractors. The SurePayroll Contractor Index, which
tracks this trend, represents the percentage of employed individuals who are
working as independent contractors.
As of the end of August 2009,
the Contractor Index now stands at 4.2 percent, up from 4.13 percent at the end
of July. Alter said this means that for every 100 workers engaged by small
businesses in August, 4.2 are 1099 independent contractors and 95.8 are W-2
employees. “Rising use of independent contractors is consistent with economic
turnaround,” he explained. “There's business to be done, but firms are hesitant
to hire full-time workers when part-time contractors might suffice.”