Now that European ADSL technology is moving up a notch, wired broadband will reach an awful lot of people who were planning to go wireless. Are the wireless providers downhearted?
The condemned man always talks a good fight. "Its great news," they assure me.
Its tempting to be cynical about ADSL (asymmetric digital subscriber line). No, heck, its not tempting, its irresistible. I think an awful lot of people are simply going to go to the wall and just dont want to preempt the market by writing off their own chances in advance.
The upgrade of ADSL is, effectively, eliminating the distance factor. Last month you were a second-class household if you were more than 6 kilometers (3.7 miles) from a phone exchange; this month theyll just roll up and install 512K-bps broadband.
According to British Telecom, this takes ADSL to almost everyone. Data gathered from trials in Britain revealed that removing the limit means 99.8 percent of lines connected to a broadband exchange should now be able to get a 512K-bps ADSL service, the phone giant said in a release.
As with many stats for rural broadbandor rural anythingits not quite what it might seem. In the same announcement, BT revealed that it was now offering megabit DSL to the same people who previously qualified for 512K bps. So whats the difference?
According to the company, BT is also increasing the range for 1M-bps premium services from 4 kilometers to about 6 kilometers, which means that 1M-bps ADSL will be available to 96 percent of homes and businesses connected to a broadband exchange.
In other words, theyve extended it by 3.8 percent of households. Thats a lot of households, of course! But the trouble is, the bulk of them are in the towns. Rural communities will still be left out; the majority of the new people arent really rural. Theyre just within technical reach of a broadband-enabled exchange.
The question we cant answer is: "How well it will work?" Trial data is one thing. A working service is something rather different. For example, ADSL works pretty well over longer distances over copper wire. But quite a lot of the phone wire in the ground in Europe isnt copperits aluminum. Where that happens, its a safe bet that some people are going to install it and find it just doesnt work.
So, is it right to say wireless rural broadband is dead then? Probably not.
Politics comes into it. For example, one of the more thoughtful analyses of the future for wireless as a way of getting the Internet to remote users came from mesh networking pioneer LocustWorld.
"Getting more broadband out there is great, whether it is by wire or wireless. Lots of mesh operators are really excited about getting DSL in to replace their satellites. Faster, cheaper, less latency, more flexibility," summarized LocustWorld marketing chief Richard Lander.
Yes, but what about financial figures? Cheaper. But how much cheaper?
"In our case, the mesh is so efficient that operators can deliver the best value," said Lander. "Some meshes start at well under $10 a month for a basic subscription. Others are able to get grant aid and offer basic services for free to people on low incomes. There are a lot of meshes, like Feeed in Hastings [England] and Boundless in Lewisham [London], that are really making a big difference, getting Internet access delivered to everyone. Mesh access is often price competitive with dial-up Internet, while beating ADSL for performance."
Next page: The price of ADSL.