Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak told a Dutch newspaper that Google Android devices will beat the iPhone in market share over a longer time horizon.
Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak had some kind words for the iPhone in a
recent interview with a Dutch newspaper, while also suggesting that Google
Android smartphones would eventually eclipse it in market share.
"When it comes to quality, iPhone is leading," De Telegraaf
quotes Wozniak as saying in its
Nov. 18 article
. However, he added, "Android phones have more
features." (Take into account that all Woz quotations here come courtesy
of Google Translate.)
Wozniak claims that Apple developed a smartphone in conjunction with a
Japanese company in 2004, but canceled it due to quality concerns. "If
Apple comes with a new product, it must have a real breakthrough," he
said. "Companies need to wait to capture a market until they have
something extremely strong." Chronologically speaking, that canned smartphone
would have beat the iPhone to market by three years.
The newspaper then paraphrases Wozniak as saying Android will overcome its
early issues with software consistency, eventually achieving a polish
comparable to Apple's iOS.
Wozniak later seemed to retract some of his statements, telling
tech blog Engadget
: "I'm not trying to put Android down, but I'm not
suggesting it's better than iOS by any stretch of the imagination. But it can
get greater market share and still be crappy."
Research firm Gartner plugged Android's global market share for the third
quarter at 25.5 percent, lagging behind Symbian at 36.6 percent but ahead of
Apple at 16.7 percent. Research In Motion and its BlackBerry franchise came in
fourth at 14.8 percent of the market.
"This quarter saw Apple and Android drive record smartphone sales,"
Gartner Research Vice President Carolina Milanesi wrote in a Nov. 10 statement
accompanying those numbers. "Apple's share of the smartphone market
surpassed Research In Motion (RIM) in North America to
put it second behind Android, while Android volumes also grew rapidly making it
the No. 2 operating system worldwide."
Apple and Google also compete in the tablet arena, where the iPad currently
holds the lion's share of the market. However, IMS
Research predicts that Google's share of that market will increase to 15
percent by the end of next year and 28 percent by 2015
, buoyed by products
such as the Samsung Galaxy Tab. Even with that rise, the firm suggests the iPad
will continue to hold 75 percent of the market by the end of 2011.
Other analysts suspect the tablet PC picture won't be the rosiest in coming
months. In a November research note, Rodman
& Renshaw analyst Ashok Kumar predicted that actual iPad sales for the
would miss analysts' previous estimates of 6 million units,
even as the Dell Streak and Samsung Galaxy Tab experienced low sales. "We
do not see Tablets go the way of netbooks," he wrote. "But if current
trends continue, the Tablet market may not end as much more than iPads or a
tweener product between smartphones and next-generation thin-and-light
notebooks a la Macbook Air."
However Apple and Android devices sell in the short term, though, the
rivalry will almost certainly continue for years.