Google Could Get a Chance to Buy T-Mobile After It Closes Motorola Deal (
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Imagine
the world a year from now—August 2012—and the attempt by AT&T to buy
T-Mobile is clearly doomed. The FCC still hasn't decided to
approve the license transfer, the DOJ is still asking
difficult antitrust questions, lawsuit after lawsuit is piling up, and
AT&T shareholders are getting restless. T-Mobile, meanwhile is still
hanging in there in merger purgatory. Even AT&T's lust to bring back Ma
Bell is starting to wear thin. Obviously, something has got to give.
Admittedly,
the scenario above is pure speculation. It's possible, if highly unlikely, that
the merger will sail through the regulators without a hitch and AT&T will
be on its way to resurrecting Ma Bell as a wireless monopoly in at least some
portions of the U.S.
But
that pretty obviously isn't going to happen. The obstacles that stand in
AT&T's way are growing. The groups supporting the merger are dropping by
the wayside one by one. AT&T's other supporters are already starting to
show a lot less ardor. By this time next year, T-Mobile could very possibly
need a savior. Google is in the right place at the right time to be the company
that saves T-Mobile.
So
what's in it for Google? In short, it has the opportunity to become the world's
first totally integrated information company. Google already controls the
biggest trove of information in a single place. It has one means of delivery
through Android, another through Chrome and another means of integration
through Google Apps. With the
acquisition of Motorola, it will have the means to deliver information
nearly anywhere. Buying T-Mobile would then be the final step to controlling
the means of delivery by controlling the carrier that provides the pipes
through which that information is delivered.
In
other words, Google could own the whole vertically integrated enchilada, lock,
stock and barrel. Google could afford to do this out of cash on hand. Equally important,
it's one of the few companies with enough clout to pull it off. After making
all these connections, Google with its access to the world's information would
be tough to outmaneuver. A quiet approach to the board of directors at Deutsche
Telekom about how they've been waiting over a year for their $39 billion should
be enough to start a discussion.
Now
that Google has shown that it's interested in more than just managing
information through its purchase of Motorola, the company may well be interested
in owning the complete information universe. Google already has a large part of
the world's information somewhere on its servers.