Facebook becomes the latest social-networking site to monitor the spread of swine flu, tracking the occurrence of flu-related words and phrases in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. Meanwhile, Google has created a Google Flu Trends site to track the spread of swine flu through Mexico. Google, Twitter, Wikipedia and other pillars of Web 2.0 have allowed users to receive real-time information about the possible spread of the pathogen, although some critics assert that social-networking has the potential to spread undue panic.Facebook follows
in the footsteps of Twitter, Google and other
prominent Web 2.0 sites by introducing an application for tracking swine flu,
the much-publicized pathogen that has killed dozens of people in Mexico and
potentially infected hundreds more worldwide.
Facebook is
utilizing its Lexicon tool, which traces the occurrence of certain words and
phrases on its users’ Walls over time, as a possible way to monitor the impact –
or at least discussions about – the disease.
A chart on the
site shows a spike in discussion of swine flu over the weekend, accompanied by
maps of the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom showing the percentage
of users utilizing flu-related terms in discussions. Perhaps unsurprisingly,
three areas of the United States in which swine flu has been reported – Texas, California
and New York – show particularly heavy amounts of activity.
Other sites have
been using their collective activity to trace the pathogen, including
Google Flu Trends, a service of Google.org that uses aggregated search queries
to follow general flu spread across the United States. Given the overall nature of its
monitoring, which Google claims is two weeks after than "traditional flu
surveillance systems," and the small number of confirmed swine flu cases, Google
Flu Trends rates the flu activity in the United States as "low."
On April 29,
Google rolled out a Mexico-specific
version of Google Flu
Trends, mapping the possible pandemic across that country’s states. While the
overall flu activity for Mexico is "low," certain areas such as Oaxaca have been
displaying "moderate" amounts of flu-related search activity.
"In response to
recent inquiries from public health officials, we've been attempting to use
Google search activity in Mexico to help track human swine flu levels," Jeremy
Ginsberg and Matt Mohebbi, software engineers for Google, wrote on the Google
Blog on April 29. "Experimental Flu Trends for Mexico is, as you might have
guessed, very experimental. But the system has detected increases in flu-related
searches in Mexico City (Distrito Federal) and a few other Mexican states in
recent days."
The system, the
engineers caution, is somewhat rougher than the original, U.S.-based version of
Google Flu Trends.
"In the United States, we were able to validate our
estimates using data from a surveillance system managed by the U.S. Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)," Ginsberg and Mohebbi wrote. "We have not
verified our data for Mexico in the same manner, but we've seen that Google
users in Mexico (and around the world) also search for many flu-related topics
when they have flu-like symptoms."
The Mexico model
takes into account the searches for "swine flu" generated by the merely panicked
or curious, and attempts to filter for those queries more likely to have been
entered by users experiencing symptoms of the disease.
Google Maps has
also been enlisted by individuals to follow the virus' spread, while Twitter's
real-time feed has seen a surge in people commenting on the flu and its
implications. Wikipedia and the CDC feature
regularly updated posts, along with information about treatment and prevention.
Some pundits are
debating whether social-networking tools such as Twitter help by informing
people of the latest news, or aggravate the
situation by presenting a real-time forum for spreading
panic.
Technically
known as swine influenza A (H1N1), the virus manifests itself in symptoms that
range from fever, muscle aches, headaches and cough to diarrhea and vomiting.
Regular strains of the flu kill between 250,000 to 500,000 a year, but the swine
flu has drawn particular attention due to the fact that, unlike those seasonal
viruses, its victims have tended to be healthy adults as opposed to infants or
the aged.
While questions
remain as to whether swine flu will cause widespread devastation, research firm
Gartner estimates that an actual pandemic could cause absenteeism rates of 40
percent or higher for the enterprise and smaller
businesses.
"IT managers
should meet with senior executives, line-of-business managers and other
high-level decision-makers to answer any questions should be made aware of the
seriousness of this pandemic preparation," Roberta Witty, research vice
president at Gartner, said in a statement. "IT managers should plan, test and
add capacity to ensure the sustainability of what is likely to be a
predominantly work-at-home environment."