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By Matthew Hicks  |  Posted 2004-06-16 Email Print this article Print
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


And even once Moores Law reaches its expected end in coming decades, the rate of growth in computing power wont slow, Kurzweil said. Instead, the paradigm will shift to a new form, which Kurzweil predicts will be 3-D molecular computing and nanotubes replacing transistors. "Sometime around 2020 or 2015, the key features of transistors will be a few atoms," he said. "Will that be the end of Moores Law? Yes, but not the end of exponential growth in computing."
By 2020, with computing power continuing its growth rate unabated, Kurzweil expects that $1,000 worth of computation will be able to emulate the computational power of the human brain.
Among the trends he foreshadowed was that by 2010, computers as theyre now known will disappear. People will interface through retinal images directly within their eyes, Kurzweil said. Software will evolve thanks to the reverse engineering of the human brain, enabling artificial intelligence to be applied directly in the brain itself, he said. By 2029, Kurzweil envisioned millions of nanorobots implanted in the human, all wirelessly connected and tapping into the Internet. By then, $1,000 worth of computation will equal 1,000 times the computational power of human brain, he said.
"There will be a significant expansion of human intelligence," Kurzweil said. "Were already able to do intellectual feats that would be impossible without technology." Check out eWEEK.coms Developer & Web Services Center at http://developer.eweek.com for the latest news, reviews and analysis in programming environments and developer tools.

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Matthew Hicks As an online reporter for eWEEK.com, Matt Hicks covers the fast-changing developments in Internet technologies. His coverage includes the growing field of Web conferencing software and services. With eight years as a business and technology journalist, Matt has gained insight into the market strategies of IT vendors as well as the needs of enterprise IT managers. He joined Ziff Davis in 1999 as a staff writer for the former Strategies section of eWEEK, where he wrote in-depth features about corporate strategies for e-business and enterprise software. In 2002, he moved to the News department at the magazine as a senior writer specializing in coverage of database software and enterprise networking. Later that year Matt started a yearlong fellowship in Washington, DC, after being awarded an American Political Science Association Congressional Fellowship for Journalist. As a fellow, he spent nine months working on policy issues, including technology policy, in for a Member of the U.S. House of Representatives. He rejoined Ziff Davis in August 2003 as a reporter dedicated to online coverage for eWEEK.com. Along with Web conferencing, he follows search engines, Web browsers, speech technology and the Internet domain-naming system.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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