Mobility, Non-PC Devices Will Define Internet's Future

 
 
By Jeffrey Burt  |  Posted 2014-06-13 Email Print this article Print
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

The amount of Internet traffic will continue to grow over the next five years, eventually hitting 1.6 zettabytes a year by 2018, Cisco Systems officials found in the networking vendor's ninth annual Visual Networking Index Global Forecast and Service Adoption. The findings dovetail with what Cisco officials have seen in previous years—that more people are connecting with more devices to IP networks that are growing bigger and faster. However, a number of interesting trends are already under way and will come to fruition between now and 2018. For example, the PC market for the past few years has seen sales shrink as more consumers and business users turn to tablets and smartphones. At some point in the next five years, the majority of IP traffic will for the first time in the Internet age come from non-PC devices, from tablets to machine-to-machine (M2M) systems. There are a lot of issues in play, from the growing role of WiFi to the burgeoning Internet of things (IoT), of which M2M communication is a key part. This eWEEK slide show takes a look at some of the highlights from Cisco's report, which was released June 10.

 
 
 
  • Mobility, Non-PC Devices Will Define Internet's Future

    by Jeffrey Burt
    1 - Mobility, Non-PC Devices Will Define Internet's Future
  • 1.6 Zettabytes Is a Lot of Traffic

    Between 1984 and 2013, 1.3 zettabytes of IP traffic was generated, according to Cisco. That will be eclipsed in 2018 alone. For comparison's sake, 1.6 zettabytes is equal to more than 1.5 trillion gigabytes.
    2 - 1.6 Zettabytes Is a Lot of Traffic
  • That Boils Down to an Average of 132 Exabytes a Month

    What does 132 exabytes a month look like? Cisco says it's equal to 8.8 billion screens simultaneously streaming the final game of the FIFA World Cup in UltraHD 4K, 5.5 billion people binge-watching the fourth season of the HBO series "Game of Thrones" on-demand in HD video, 4.5 trillion YouTube clips and 940 quadrillion text messages.
    3 - That Boils Down to an Average of 132 Exabytes a Month
  • The World's Getting Connected

    By 2018, more than half the world's population—52 percent—will have access to the Internet.
    4 - The World's Getting Connected
  • Bandwidth Usage Is Only Going Up

    In 2013, the average person used 15GB of bandwidth a month. That will hit 30GB by 2018 and 75GB sometime after that. For an average household, that will go from 36GB in 2013 to 73GB in 2018 to 150GB in the future.
    5 - Bandwidth Usage Is Only Going Up
  • PCs and Their Declining Role in IP Traffic

    Last year, only 33 percent of Internet traffic came from non-PC devices. By 2018, that number will grow to 57 percent. It doesn't mean that PC-generated traffic will decline; such traffic will grow 10 percent. However, the amount of traffic generated by other devices and connections will grow faster, including tablets (74 percent), smartphones (64 percent), M2M connections (84 percent) and TVs (18 percent).
    6 - PCs and Their Declining Role in IP Traffic
  • Lots of Devices, Lots of Connections

    There will be almost 21 billion global network connections—including fixed and mobile personal devices and M2M connections—by 2018, up from 12.4 billion last year. Globally, each person will have an average of 2.7 networked devices or connections, up from 1.7 per capita in 2013.
    7 - Lots of Devices, Lots of Connections
  • Machine-to-Machine Communications Will Continue to Grow

    By 2018, there will be 7.3 billion M2M connections worldwide—almost one per person on Earth, with the estimated population by that time being about 7.6 billion. Traffic generated by M2M connections will grow 21 times between 2013 and 2018.
    8 - Machine-to-Machine Communications Will Continue to Grow
  • So Will the Number of IPv6 Devices

    There will be 10 billion IPv6-capable mobile and fixed devices by 2018, a significant jump from the 2 million last year.
    9 - So Will the Number of IPv6 Devices
  • It's an Increasingly Wireless World

    Per Cisco's numbers, WiFi and mobile-connected devices will account for 61 percent of IP traffic by 2018, with WiFi generating 49 percent of it, while traffic from fixed devices will be 39 percent. Last year, WiFi generated 41 percent, fixed 56 percent.
    10 - It's an Increasingly Wireless World
  • Broadband Will Only Get Faster

    By 2018, global broadband speeds will hit 42M bps, up from 16M bps by the end of 2013.
    11 - Broadband Will Only Get Faster
  • Video Is the Way to Go

    Video will continue playing an increasing role in IP traffic, hitting 79 percent by 2018. It was 66 percent last year. Meanwhile, UltraHD 4K video will be 11 percent of all IP video traffic within four years, up from 0.1 percent in 2013.
    12 - Video Is the Way to Go
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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