IDC: PC Shipments Will Slow More Than Expected in 2015

By Jeffrey Burt  |  Posted 2015-03-13 Print this article Print

In addition, with such technologies as Intel's Skylake processor platform and Microsoft's Windows 10 OS on the horizon for the second half of the year, OEMs and PC buyers will be holding off on some of their purchases until those products are available.

An upside for PC makers is that tablet sales continue to slow, according to Jay Chou, senior research analyst for IDC's Worldwide PC Trackers. IDC noted that in the fourth quarter of 2014, for the first time, year-over-year shipments of tablets declined, and the firm said it was scaling back its five-year forecast. The analysts expect worldwide tablet shipments in 2015 to hit 234.5 million units, a 2.1 percent increase over last year, and growth will continue over the next several years as commercial interest in tablets increase and Microsoft continues gaining traction in the market.

For PCs, IDC expects 293.1 million PCs will ship in 2015, dropping to 291.4 million in 2019, with the market shrinking from $201 billion last year to $175 billion by 2019.

The trends outlined by IDC echo what Bob O'Donnell, principal analyst with TECHnalysis Research, is finding. However, while acknowledging the continued popularity of smartphones, O'Donnell said that people will still turn to PCs when they need to do work and create content rather than simply surf the Web and consume content.

"A smartphone is great, but it has a 4-inch screen or a 5-inch screen," he told eWEEK. "It doesn't have a 14-inch screen."

O'Donnell said he still sees a relatively healthy future for the PC market, despite the challenge from mobile devices and the fact that businesses are holding onto their systems longer than before. A high percentage of the PC market revolves around PC refreshes, and with more than 1 billion PCs in use today, the future still looks positive.


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