Looking Ahead

By Steven Vaughan-Nichols  |  Posted 2004-11-24 Print this article Print

Looking ahead to 2005, I only see this trend continuing. The older Unixes are going to continue their decline. Yes, Sun will do its darndest to slow that down with Solaris 10, but itll do as well as I did in ordering the ocean not to wash away my sand castle when I was a kid.

And as for Microsoft? I think all you need do is look at Steve Ballmers recent comments about Linux and intellectual property to know that the company thinks Linux is going to be causing it serious trouble in the next few years.

You can always see this in Microsofts plans to make desktop programs such as the next version of Office dependent on server-based software. What nonsense!

No word processor in this day and age should need anything from a server except a place to store files. No, the reason why Microsoft is making these moves is to force users to use its own server software instead of Linux.

In the past, its been foolish to bet against the Redmond giant, but when it comes to Linux, Im willing to make that bet. Linux is simply a stunningly good operating system.

Besides, Microsofts operating systems and programs have become completely bug-ridden. Seriously, has a month gone by this year without a major Microsoft security problem? I put it all together and I, for one, have no doubt that Linux—and not Windows—eventually will be the dominant operating system in the early 21st century.

eWEEK.com Senior Editor Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols has been using and writing about operating systems since the late 80s and thinks he may just have learned something about them along the way.

Check out eWEEK.coms for the latest open-source news, reviews and analysis.

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols is editor at large for Ziff Davis Enterprise. Prior to becoming a technology journalist, Vaughan-Nichols worked at NASA and the Department of Defense on numerous major technological projects. Since then, he's focused on covering the technology and business issues that make a real difference to the people in the industry.

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