Study Predicts Internet Users Face Bandwidth Drought - Page 4

By Paula Musich  |  Posted 2008-01-11 Print this article Print

And then there's the -Net neutrality debate, which in the end in at least the United States could prohibit the application of QOS controls that would throttle data rates for some applications to favor others. 

That debate to date has muddied the waters for many service providers, who are unsure about whether they will be allowed to recoup any investment they make to beef up bandwidth at the Internet's on-ramp.

"All those public policy issues have gummed up the pure business decision about how to invest in the access area," claimed Mike Jude, author of the Nemertes study and senior analyst at Nemertes Research in Denver, Colo. "I think the public policy debate is potentially retarding investment in that area."

How that debate plays out could ultimately decide whether an Internet bandwidth crunch happens. Juniper's Medikonda believes the great -Net neutrality debate will fade away, and in three to five years "revenue sharing will be more practically used and deployed."

Nemertes is quick to point out that if demand exceeds capacity, it won't break the Internet. "It's simply not possible. The Internet's fundamental architecture precludes it," the study concluded.

Instead, "What you'll have is some places with local congestion at certain times of the day," described Passmore.

If that occurs, then consumer expectations will likely change, affecting demand. "We have an expectation of entitlement to free stuff [from the Internet]. But as a user, I'm only going to download videos until it's an unfavorable experience," argued Tom Nolle, president of CIMI Corp. in Voorhees, N.J.

The United States, in fact, is one of the few countries that still employs "all-you-can-eat pricing" rather than usage-based pricing, which leads to unrealistic expectations, Nolle asserted.

"We might all like to download an HD movie to watch in an hour, but that's not going to happen," he said.



Submit a Comment

Loading Comments...
Manage your Newsletters: Login   Register My Newsletters

Rocket Fuel